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2018 iPhone Event Predictions

jbiatek21st January 2022 at 3:34pm
Winner: Stephen

▶️ Episodes

This starts out as "no prizes" for these predictions, just saying stuff and seeing what happens.

But after the event, when some are right and some are wrong, there is suddenly a lot more temptation to start grading and ranking.

Non-Graded Picks

HostPickScore
Federico Non‑graded "Two new iPad Pros" 0
Federico Non‑graded "A new Smart Keyboard" 0
Federico Non‑graded "iWork updates for iOS 12" 0
Federico Non‑graded "Cheaper phone is not called "iPhone 9"" 1
Federico Non‑graded "New watch bands" 1
Federico Non‑graded "Series 4 has multiple changes to watch faces" 1
  • "(beyond the leaked ones we have already seen)"
Stephen Non‑graded "No iPads, iPhone and Apple Watch only" 1
Stephen Non‑graded "No Macs" 1
Stephen Non‑graded "Names will be XC and XS" 0
Stephen Non‑graded "Line will be XS, 9, 8+, 8, 7+, 7, SE" 1
  • Exact names weren't the main goal of this pick. The pick intended to convey that the existing iPhone X would drop from the lineup, but both sizes of 8 and 7 would stick around.
  • The SE being dropped as well wasn't enough to make the pick wrong, apparently.
Stephen Non‑graded "iPhone 9 will come in colors" 1
Myke Non‑graded "New iPads" 0
Myke Non‑graded "New pencil and keyboard" 0
Myke Non‑graded "Nothing about the Mac" 1
  • The mention of Mojave's release is deemed insufficient to make this wrong.
Myke Non‑graded "The cheaper iPhone will be called iPhone 9" 0
Myke Non‑graded "The only iPhones seen on stage will be the ones we already know about" 1
  • This seems to have been a sub-bullet point to the previous pick originally, but was forcibly upgraded to a full pick by Myke during grading. (Again, this "game" wasn't even supposed to be a competition originally.)
Myke Non‑graded "The larger iPhone will be called XS+" 0
Myke Non‑graded "New and faster FaceID" 1
Myke Non‑graded "A new, unique case" 0

The... Scores?

  • Stephen: 80%
  • Federico: 60% (not a typo)
  • Myke: 40% (also not a typo)

As this wasn't expected to be strictly graded at first, there is some contention about how to grade the results. Federico advocates for weighing based on importance. Stephen argues for percentages. It is widely agreed that Myke has lost. Myke insists that as the loser, he picks the winner, and picks Stephen. Federico deems this a conspiracy. After some bickering, Myke declares that the scores are as above (the exact math seems to have been some combination of rounding and placating), and the issue is settled.