2018 iPhone Event Predictions

jbiatek 9th April 2024 at 6:52pm

▶️ Episodes

This starts out as "no prizes" for these predictions, just saying stuff and seeing what happens.

But after the event, when some are right and some are wrong, there is suddenly a lot more temptation to start grading and ranking.

Non-Graded Picks

Host	Pick	Score
Federico	Non‑graded	"Two new iPad Pros"	0
	"Maybe more of a hope" As it turns out, there would later be a separate event for the iPad.
Federico	Non‑graded	"A new Smart Keyboard"	0
Federico	Non‑graded	"iWork updates for iOS 12"	0
	The big iWork update eventually came in 2019.
Federico	Non‑graded	"Cheaper phone is not called "iPhone 9""	1
Federico	Non‑graded	"New watch bands"	1
Federico	Non‑graded	"Series 4 has multiple changes to watch faces"	1
	"(beyond the leaked ones we have already seen)"
Stephen	Non‑graded	"No iPads, iPhone and Apple Watch only"	1
Stephen	Non‑graded	"No Macs"	1
	Based on comments in the grading episode, this might have originally been a sub-bullet point of the previous pick.
Stephen	Non‑graded	"Names will be XC and XS"	0
Stephen	Non‑graded	"Line will be XS, 9, 8+, 8, 7+, 7, SE"	1
	Exact names weren't the main goal of this pick. The pick intended to convey that the existing iPhone X would drop from the lineup, but both sizes of 8 and 7 would stick around. The SE being dropped as well wasn't enough to make the pick wrong, apparently.
Stephen	Non‑graded	"iPhone 9 will come in colors"	1
Myke	Non‑graded	"New iPads"	0
	Again, there was a separate event for the iPad.
Myke	Non‑graded	"New pencil and keyboard"	0
	This also happened in the October iPad event, which wasn't the subject of a game.
Myke	Non‑graded	"Nothing about the Mac"	1
	The mention of Mojave's release is deemed insufficient to make this wrong.
Myke	Non‑graded	"The cheaper iPhone will be called iPhone 9"	0
Myke	Non‑graded	"The only iPhones seen on stage will be the ones we already know about"	1
	This seems to have been a sub-bullet point to the previous pick originally, but was forcibly upgraded to a full pick by Myke during grading. (Again, this "game" wasn't even supposed to be a competition originally.)
Myke	Non‑graded	"The larger iPhone will be called XS+"	0
Myke	Non‑graded	"New and faster FaceID"	1
Myke	Non‑graded	"A new, unique case"	0
	Apple's case lineup would stay effectively unchanged until 2023, when the Fine Woven case replaced the leather case.

The... Scores?

Stephen: 80%
Federico: 60% (not a typo)
Myke: 40% (also not a typo)

As this wasn't expected to be strictly graded at first, there is some contention about how to grade the results. Federico advocates for weighing based on importance. Stephen argues for percentages. It is widely agreed that Myke has lost. Myke insists that as the loser, he picks the winner, and picks Stephen. Federico deems this a conspiracy. After some bickering, Myke declares that the scores are as above (the exact math seems to have been some combination of rounding and placating), and the issue is settled.

Game tools

Annual Games Keynote Games iPhone Event WWDC

Pro tip: winner and flexie-winner should be set to "TBD" while the game is active.

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graded:
winner:
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flexies-winner:
donator:
flexie-score-sort:
charity-name:
charity-url:
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New Regular Pick:

New Risky Pick:

New Flexie Pick:

New Non-graded Pick:

text: {{||$:/RelevantEpisodeTemplate}} This starts out as "no prizes" for these predictions, just saying stuff and seeing what happens. But after the event, when some are right and some are wrong, there is suddenly a lot more temptation to start grading and ranking. {{||$:/NonGradedPickTemplate}} !! The... Scores? * Stephen: 80% * Federico: 60% (not a typo) * Myke: 40% (also not a typo) As this wasn't expected to be strictly graded at first, there is some contention about how to grade the results. Federico advocates for weighing based on importance. Stephen argues for percentages. It is widely agreed that Myke has lost. Myke insists that as the loser, he picks the winner, and picks Stephen. Federico deems this a conspiracy. After some bickering, Myke declares that the scores are as above (the exact math seems to have been some combination of rounding and placating), and the issue is settled.