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2025 Annual Rickies

jbiatek11th January 2026 at 2:26pm
Donation: $75 Donator: Stephen Flexies winner: Federico Winner: Stephen

▶️ Episodes

🥇 Regular Picks

HostPickScore
Federico Regular "A new "iPhone SE" is introduced with a new design" 1
  • Or something in its place, the name doesn't have to be "SE".
  • Ungraded, Stephen thinks this may be the first pick to come true in 2025.
Myke Regular "Apple introduces its own LLM to power Siri" 0
  • It does not have to ship in 2025, though.
Stephen Regular "Apple ships the Apple Watch Ultra 3" 1
Federico Regular "A new AirTag is introduced with better tracking capabilities" 0
Myke Regular "Apple introduces the thinnest iPhone ever" 1
Stephen Regular "The M1 MacBook Air is not for sale at the end of 2025" 0
Myke Regular "Mac Studio is updated with a new chip" 1

⚠️ Risky Picks

HostPickScore
Federico Risky "Apple announces a new standalone "Siri app" based on a new LLM that will..." -1
  • "Be multilingual and support multiple languages at the same time."
  • "Support multiple modalities – e.g. text input, voice input, or image attachments in the same conversation."
  • "Display content from third-party apps inline based on a new developer framework."
  • If the overall pick about a "Siri app" is wrong, all the details will be counted as wrong as well. But that won't be a problem because Federico thinks that this approach is "so obvious".
Myke Risky "Apple introduces a new smart home product that features a screen..." -1
  • "It will be in the HomePod line of products."
  • "It will feature eye or hand tracking as a way to control the interface without needing to touch the screen."
  • "And it will feature support for third party apps to run on the device."
  • Apps may not necessarily come from a dedicated App Store, it may be more like CarPlay or some form of mirroring. Just widgets or Live Activities will not count, there has to be UI that you interact with.
Stephen Risky "Apple replaces the "Plus" iPhone with an all new model..." 0
  • "It's the thinnest iPhone ever, but is made of titanium to remain strong."
  • "It has no Camera Control and/or Action Button."
  • "It does not offer an always-on display."

🏆 Scores

  1. Stephen: 1
  2. Myke: 1
  3. Federico: 0

Myke calls heads, but it's tails, giving Stephen his first Annual Chairmanship in a while.

💪 Flexie Picks

HostPickScore
Myke Flexie ""HomePod Touch" is the name of the smart device" 0
Myke Flexie "The Mac Pro does not get updated" 1
Myke Flexie "No new Vision hardware announced" 0
Myke Flexie "AirPods Pro get hardware changes to support new health features" 1
Myke Flexie "Another person on the Apple leadership page changes their title in 2025" 1
  • The leadership page at the time of recording.
  • There was some debate about whether the rather surprising leadership shuffles toward the end of 2025 actually included title changes, but indeed some more mundane title changes happened as well, so the question was moot.
Myke Flexie "There will be only three Apple events in 2025" 0
Stephen Flexie "A second-generation Vision Pro is rumored to feature an M4 but doesn't launch in 2025" 0
  • A rumor existing isn't very gradable, so a more concrete provision about when it (doesn't) launch was added.
Stephen Flexie "The Mac Pro is updated to use an M4 system on a chip, but is otherwise unchanged from the M2 model" 0
Stephen Flexie "macOS 16 includes a controversial change" 1
Stephen Flexie "iOS 19 brings agreements with new LLM partners beyond OpenAI" 0
  • Apple did announce some partnerships, but not much shipped, and nothing particularly "brought" by iOS 19 26, so the particular wording knocks this out.
Stephen Flexie "Apple services see a price increase in the US" 1
  • Apple TV increased by a few dollars (when not bundled with a larger plan).
Federico Flexie "The new iPhone SE is called iPhone 16e" 1
Federico Flexie "The HomePod mini is updated" 0
  • Something as small as a color change counts as an update.
Federico Flexie "Apple does something with Pixelmator beyond keeping it on the App Store or updating its privacy policy" 1
  • Taking it off of the app store counts.
  • Not much was done, but it got some updates and Apple Intelligence support.
Federico Flexie "Apple showcases building Shortcuts with natural language" 0
Federico Flexie "Apple Music gets natural language playlist creation" 1
  • Some controversy as Federico pushes for the ChatGPT features integrating with Apple Music and makes a convincing enough argument. After he gets his way, he does admit that that's not really what he was predicting, but that's the game.

💸 Flexie Scores

  1. Federico: 60.0% (3/5)
  2. Myke: 50.0% (3/6)
  3. Stephen: 40.0% (2/5)

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