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31st December 2022 at 4:03pm

Stephen's Stagecraft Picks

Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Stephen Regular "Tim Cook interacts with a celebrity" 1
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "No Mac or iPad hardware in the keynote" 0
  • 10.2” iPad was announced
Stephen Risky "No service bundle announced" 2
  • “including any service being free with another, or some sort of content being added to the iPhone upgrade program”
  • Apple TV+ was announced as a free trial, but not as a bundle. And it doesn’t really come with the upgrade program as such. Stephen threads the needle with this pick.
Stephen Non‑graded "Jeff Williams will take a greater role in the keynote" 0
  • More than just the Apple Watch section
Stephen Non‑graded "No mention or word from Jony Ive" 1
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Stephen Non‑graded "Apple says literally anything about the HomePod" 1
Stephen Non‑graded "No Apple Services bundle announced" 1
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Joz wears a non-solid-color shirt" 0
Stephen Flexie "Event looks mostly like WWDC" 1
  • "Not all on stage in a theater but using different parts of the campus or outside world"
Stephen Flexie "Apple somehow sets expectations for when the iPhone will be announced" 0
Stephen Flexie "The removal of Force Touch on watchOS is framed as the inclusion of Haptic Touch" 0
Stephen Flexie "Preview of fall Apple TV+ content" 0
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Joz presents a new product" 1
Stephen Flexie "An AR demo is shown" 1
Stephen Flexie "iPad Air preorder date announced" 0
  • Orders began on October 16th, with no advanced notice. Unfortunately, the picks had already been graded by then.
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Phil Schiller is nowhere to be seen" 1
Stephen Flexie "We see a Big Sur feature recap" 1
Stephen Flexie "We see Johny Srouji again" 1
Stephen Flexie "No mention of cellular Macs" 1
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "No in-person WWDC 2021" 1
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "At this event, we see some sort of AR-focused hardware" -1
Stephen Flexie "We see Joz introduce something" 0
Stephen Flexie "No mention of AirTags" 0
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "We get some happy messaging from Apple about how much they value developers" 1
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Apple TV+ content is featured in the keynote" 1
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "macOS Monterey features are reviewed" 0
  • Some Mac software features were mentioned, like running iOS apps, but nothing really specific to Monterey.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "We do not see Joz during this event" 1
Stephen Flexie "No preview of an Apple Silicon Mac Pro" 1
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "A presenter references the fact that some developers are at Apple Park for the keynote" 0
  • This is litigated a bit later when Myke's very similar pick got graded, as Tim Cook did address the audience before the video played. He was decided to not be "a presenter" at the time, ultimately.
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "The keynote is a pre-recorded video" 1
Stephen Flexie "Apple mentions at least 1 feature "coming later"" 1
Type2023 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "WWDC 2023 follows the same format as WWDC 2022, with a small number of people invited in person"
  • No convention center, no ticket lottery, just like in 2022.

Myke's Stagecraft Picks

Type2018 iPhone Event PredictionsScore
Myke Non‑graded "Nothing about the Mac" 1
  • The mention of Mojave's release is deemed insufficient to make this wrong.
Myke Non‑graded "The only iPhones seen on stage will be the ones we already know about" 1
  • This seems to have been a sub-bullet point to the previous pick originally, but was forcibly upgraded to a full pick by Myke during grading. (Again, this "game" wasn't even supposed to be a competition originally.)
Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Myke Non‑graded "All the celebrities will come out at the end and take a picture together" 1
Type2019 WWDC PredictionsScore
Myke Regular "Apple will mention Apple Arcade during the keynote" 1
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Myke Risky "Tim Cook thanks Jony Ive, the camera shows Jony in the audience, Jony doesn’t stand" -1
Myke Non‑graded "The Mac is not mentioned" 1
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Someone washes their hands during the presentation" 0
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "No new Macs announced" 1
Myke Flexie "Apple TV+ trailers are shown" 0
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple demos iOS apps running on a Mac" 0
Myke Flexie "Craig demos Big Sur features" 1
  • The instant wake demo is counted for this.
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Apple talks about App Tracking Transparency in iOS 14.5" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Myke Risky "Apple teases another Mac, that is not for sale right now, with Pro in the name, and says that it is coming next year" -1
  • It was originally "Mac product", but there was some controversy over whether that includes accessories and displays. Ultimately, Myke upped the difficulty and removed the word "product".
Myke Flexie "Webcam will be called "highest quality on a Mac"" 0
  • It was "Mac notebook".
Type2022 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Tim Cook says "metaverse"" 1
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Tim Cook mentions the war in Ukraine" 0
Myke Flexie "John Ternus is wearing a black T-shirt" 0
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Risky "Apple gives a sneak peak of the new Mac Pro..." -1
  • "...It features a case design inspired by the 2019 Mac Pro. It features more ports than any other Apple Silicon Mac available today. It does not have support for third-party GPUs. It features a chip name that has not appeared in any other product. It has a starting price of at least $6,999. It is coming later this year."
  • Originally it said "same case design", but the change was accepted on air after Myke reconsidered. "Later this year" was also demoted from being an exact quote.
  • This Mac Pro will have to beat the Mac Studio in terms of ports: 2 USB-C, 2 USB-A, 4 Thunderbolt, SD card, Ethernet, HDMI, and headphone jack, for a total of 12.
  • This pick is similar in spirit to Myke's ongoing Annual pick, but with different conditions. At the time it was the most complex graded pick ever made.
Myke Flexie "Tim presents some portion of the keynote in front of a live audience" 0
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Someone is wearing the new Apple Watch while riding a skateboard" 0
  • A reference to the "Apple Watch Extreme" rumors. Maybe Tony Hawk?
Myke Flexie "We do not see John Ternus" 1
Myke Flexie "No trailers for Apple TV+ content" 1
Myke Flexie "Tim Cook says "good morning"" 1

Federico's Stagecraft Picks

Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Federico Risky "Apple will mention at least one new feature coming to the HomePod" -1
Federico Non‑graded "Apple gives a quick tour of improvements to next round of software updates" 0
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Federico Non‑graded "Apple gives a release date for iOS 13.1 and mentions the update on stage" 0
Federico Non‑graded "Apple announces new environmental efforts, such as a new recycling robot" 0
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Federico Non‑graded "The keynote is held outside on the stage Apple uses for concerts at Apple Park" 0
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple showcases at least one new feature coming in iOS or iPadOS 14.1" 0
  • The version number wasn't stated explicitly, otherwise Fitness+ would have counted.
Federico Flexie "At least one segment of the keynote is shot inside Apple's own fitness labs" 1
  • It isn't quite clear if what they showed was the lab, but it doesn't matter to the scoring anyway so the point is given.
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "iOS 14.2's Shazam recognition is demoed" 0
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple compares the performance of Apple Silicon Macs to "most PCs sold today"" 1
Federico Flexie "Apple demos a game running on an Apple Silicon Mac" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Federico Regular "Any kind of release timeframe is provided for macOS Monterey" 1
  • Apparently feeling humble, Federico admits that this is a "boring" pick. It was originally "release date", but when some questioning about whether just a month would count came up, he watered it down.
Federico Flexie "Apple demos a Mac app that takes advantage of the updated Neural Engine" 0
Federico Flexie "John Ternus is wearing jeans and a black t-shirt" 0
  • It was a blue t-shirt.
Federico Flexie "There is going to be a funny scene involving one of the characters of Ted Lasso" 0
  • Federico originally had "Universal Control has been postponed to a future macOS Monterey update", but during the show a new macOS beta was released with the feature not available, but at least mentioned in an unselectable check box.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "No preview of an AR headset" 1
Federico Flexie "Universal Control is demoed again" 0
Federico Flexie "Craig is wearing a blue shirt" 0
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Tony Hawk will make an appearance at the event" 0