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Unvindicatable

16th February 2022 at 8:11pm

Not a topic per se, this tag is mostly for me to mark picks that are never going to become ahead of their time so that I know that I already looked at it and made the decision.

Stephen's Unvindicatable Picks

TypeThe AirPower GameScore
Stephen Non‑graded "AirPower will come out the first week of December 2018" 0
  • This wasn't actually an option, but Stephen felt confident. (Really, he changed it to just be "after the 2018 iPhone event" as well, but that's not as fun.)
Type2018 iPhone Event PredictionsScore
Stephen Non‑graded "Names will be XC and XS" 0
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "No Mac or iPad hardware in the keynote" 0
  • 10.2” iPad was announced
Stephen Non‑graded "Jeff Williams will take a greater role in the keynote" 0
  • More than just the Apple Watch section
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Non‑graded "WWDC brings no real changes to Mac Catalyst" 0
Stephen Non‑graded "Apple will not ship an ARM Mac in 2020" 0
  • In 2019, Stephen picked the first ARM Mac to be shipped, so this was his... revenge?
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Stephen Non‑graded "A new iMac is announced with Intel CPUs" 0
  • While it could still happen, as of 2022 the Apple Silicon transition appears to be complete for the iMac with no last Intel version.
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Joz wears a non-solid-color shirt" 0
Stephen Flexie "Apple somehow sets expectations for when the iPhone will be announced" 0
Stephen Flexie "The removal of Force Touch on watchOS is framed as the inclusion of Haptic Touch" 0
Stephen Flexie "Preview of fall Apple TV+ content" 0
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "The new iPhone will be the 12S, not the 13" 0
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The iPad Pro is updated to a variant of the A14 chip" 0
  • If it's the M1, Apple would have to also mention that the M1 is an A14 variant to get the pick.
Stephen Flexie "We see Joz introduce something" 0
Stephen Flexie "The Magic Keyboard for iPad goes unchanged" 0
  • Ungraded: what if it got a camera on the long edge? That'd be incredible.
Stephen Flexie "No mention of AirTags" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "At least 1 new Mac model announced ships in November" 0
  • All of them shipped in October.
Stephen Flexie "USB-C charging is faster than the new MagSafe" 0
  • Which charging methods can do what differs between models, but in all cases MagSafe appears to be equally fast or faster than USB-C.
Stephen Flexie "The chip is called the M1X" 0
Stephen Flexie "macOS Monterey features are reviewed" 0
  • Some Mac software features were mentioned, like running iOS apps, but nothing really specific to Monterey.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "iOS 15.4 and/or macOS 12.3 get a release date" 0
  • They did get a window but not an actual date.
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "A presenter references the fact that some developers are at Apple Park for the keynote" 0
  • This is litigated a bit later when Myke's very similar pick got graded, as Tim Cook did address the audience before the video played. He was decided to not be "a presenter" at the time, ultimately.
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The Apple Watch SE, announced in 2020, moves down in price with no feature changes" 0
  • Not graded: Series 7 or SE 2 takes the middle price point where the SE is now

Myke's Unvindicatable Picks

Type2018 iPhone Event PredictionsScore
Myke Non‑graded "The cheaper iPhone will be called iPhone 9" 0
Myke Non‑graded "The larger iPhone will be called XS+" 0
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Myke Risky "Tim Cook thanks Jony Ive, the camera shows Jony in the audience, Jony doesn’t stand" -1
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Someone washes their hands during the presentation" 0
Myke Flexie "No specific date for iOS 14's release" 0
  • Originally a candidate for Myke's Risky Pick.
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple gives another extended free period of TV+ with new product purchases, even if you already had a trial" 0
  • The pick went through a little more revision after round 2 ended.
  • Apple extended the existing free period for TV+, which does not count
  • Myke notes that, since this extension was announced via press release before the event, a differently-worded pick may have been ambiguous based on the rules at the time, so an explicit rule about the scoring window is added.
Myke Flexie "Apple TV+ trailers are shown" 0
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple demos iOS apps running on a Mac" 0
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Myke Regular "The 12.9" iPad Pro ships later than the 11" iPad Pro" 0
Myke Risky "2 sizes of iMac announced" -1
  • An iMac even being announced was fairly risky. However, it came in just one size.
Myke Flexie "Apple talks about App Tracking Transparency in iOS 14.5" 0
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "New Apple Watch is not a part of the presentation" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Webcam will be called "highest quality on a Mac"" 0
  • It was "Mac notebook".
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Tim Cook mentions the war in Ukraine" 0
Myke Flexie "John Ternus is wearing a black T-shirt" 0
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Tim presents some portion of the keynote in front of a live audience" 0
Myke Flexie "There is no additional external display support for iPadOS" 0
Myke Flexie "iPadOS multitasking remains fundamentally the same as the iPadOS 15 version" 0
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "New Apple Watch is a 'Series 8' Watch" 0
  • "It may 'technically' be an Edition, but no new name (like Pro or Max)"
  • As mentioned in the Upgrade Draft earlier in the week, but not chosen there. This was deemed insufficiently Risky, and so was demoted to a Flexie.
Myke Flexie "Someone is wearing the new Apple Watch while riding a skateboard" 0
  • A reference to the "Apple Watch Extreme" rumors. Maybe Tony Hawk?

Federico's Unvindicatable Picks

Type2017 Annual PredictionsScore
Federico Regular "An executive shakeup in the iOS or Mac OS software teams" 0
Type2018 Annual PredictionsScore
Federico Regular "A streaming service announced as Apple Video" 0
  • "1-2 months for free, bundled with Apple Music as an option"
TypeAudio PredictionsScore
Federico Regular "HeadPods will be wireless only and they will have no headphone jack and will charge via Lightning or USB-C" 0
TypeThe AirPower GameScore
Federico Non‑graded "AirPower will come out before the 2018 iPhone event" 0
  • Confidence remained high even days before the event in episode 208.
Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Federico Risky "Apple will mention at least one new feature coming to the HomePod" -1
Federico Non‑graded "Apple gives a quick tour of improvements to next round of software updates" 0
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Federico Regular "The biggest phone will not be called Pro Max" 0
Federico Non‑graded "Apple gives a release date for iOS 13.1 and mentions the update on stage" 0
Federico Non‑graded "Apple announces new environmental efforts, such as a new recycling robot" 0
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Federico Non‑graded "The keynote is held outside on the stage Apple uses for concerts at Apple Park" 0
Federico Non‑graded "One major video game developer will bring an exclusive title to Apple Arcade" 0
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple showcases at least one new feature coming in iOS or iPadOS 14.1" 0
  • The version number wasn't stated explicitly, otherwise Fitness+ would have counted.
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple launches a new AirPods app for iPhone, similar to Watch app" 0
  • Instead of an app, Apple made a section in Settings at the next WWDC.
Federico Flexie "iOS 14.2's Shazam recognition is demoed" 0
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Federico Regular "The first Apple Silicon chip is a variant of the A14 family" 0
  • The M1 could be related, but Apple never said so, and instead say that it was built specifically for the Mac.
Federico Flexie "Apple demos a game running on an Apple Silicon Mac" 0
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Federico Risky "An iPhone gets an updated Face ID sensor that supports partially occluded faces" -1
  • Cannot be a feature that comes to existing iPhones
  • This feature did come in 2022, but didn't require new hardware.
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple demos a Mac app that takes advantage of the updated Neural Engine" 0
Federico Flexie "John Ternus is wearing jeans and a black t-shirt" 0
  • It was a blue t-shirt.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Universal Control is demoed again" 0
Federico Flexie "Craig is wearing a blue shirt" 0
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "On the always-on Lock Screen for iPhone 14 Pro, you see notifications in Count mode" 0
Federico Flexie "Bands for the new Apple Watch "Pro" are not backward compatible with other Apple Watches" 0
Federico Flexie "Tony Hawk will make an appearance at the event" 0