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Possible Vindication

11th May 2022 at 12:01pm

Not a topic per se, this tag is mostly for me to keep an eye on picks that could become Ahead of Its Time in the future. This is a somewhat subjective decision, but in general, this should include anything that isn't too vague or too specific to a particular event. Product or feature release picks are more likely to be vindicatable, stagecraft and buzzkill picks are less likely.

Things to watch for

This is a consolidated list (a few of these have been picked multiple times) and also it's organized by likelihood and somewhat by category.

Only a matter of time

  • Ted Lasso character cameo in a keynote
  • Apple Silicon transition finishes (especially Mac Pro)
  • Any new Mac with "Pro" in the name gets announced in 2022 or later
  • New high end M1 Mac mini, and/or the Intel Mac mini finally goes away
  • The M2 chip
  • Big iMac comes back
  • Mac mini gets a redesign past spring 2022
  • AR/VR headset
  • Major iOS redesign
  • iOS drops support for iPhone 6S
  • Widgets get interactivity
  • Old Today view widgets removed
  • iOS Home app gets widgets
  • iPhone always-on display
  • A new, unique iPhone case
  • New iPad Pro accessory
  • iPadOS home screen changes
  • iPadOS external display support
  • Non-Pro iPad gets LIDAR
  • A new Apple pro app for the iPad
  • iPad Pro gets a GaN charger
  • Regular iPad gets USB-C
  • Weather.app for iPad
  • macOS updated Today view
  • Apple Watch SE either price cut or discontinued
  • Apple Watch gets 5G
  • Apple Pencil update, or support on non-iPads
  • Apple's new weather API
  • Mac App Store gets a major redesign
  • Apple classical

Other things that could happen

  • iCloud 5 gig limit increase
  • iPad gets multi user
  • New color AirPod
  • iCloud family photo sharing
  • Apple Podcasts for Android
  • A new Intel iMac
  • iPhone USB-C
  • A chip named M1 plus a letter
  • High-end audio product/DAC
  • macOS version number fast-forward to iOS number
  • MagSafe puck goes to 20 watts
  • iPhone Pro has a year with 5 colors
  • Mac gets 5G
  • MacBook power bricks with Ethernet
  • AirPower finally comes out
  • iPhone subscription for both hardware and services
  • iPhone with Touch ID
  • AirPods Max gets options for new materials
  • An AirTags 3-pack instead of the current 4-pack
  • iPad camera moves to long side
  • Smart Connector on iPad mini
  • Ceramic Apple Watch returns
  • Any new color name for MacBook Pro (not silver or space grey), and one pick is specifically for "Space Black"
  • Apple TV game controller bundle or first-party Apple controller
  • Apple TV price drops: below $149 for HD, below $179/$199 for 4K
  • iMessage feature to retract sent messages
  • New coding app for iPad that isn't Swift Playgrounds
  • Shortcuts gets ability to interact with files outside of its sandbox
  • iPhone portrait lock except for video
  • New Notes framework for developers
  • A dedicated AirPods app
  • Native icon changing for iOS
  • More than 13" iPad Pro
  • DriverKit for iPadOS
  • Shortcuts trigger for USB connections
  • An iPad hypervisor
  • iOS keychain settings becomes an app

Direct links to all of the picks

Stephen's Possible Vindication Picks

Type2017 Annual PredictionsScore
Stephen Regular "iCloud free 5 GB limit will be increased" 0
Stephen Non‑graded "Multi-user on iPad support for the masses" 0
TypeAudio PredictionsScore
Stephen Regular "At least 1 more color option comes to AirPods" 0
Type2019 WWDC PredictionsScore
Stephen Non‑graded "iCloud family photo sharing" 0
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "Apple Podcast app launches on Android" -1
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "The iPhone Pro moves to USB-C" -1
  • Stephen was very sure of this pick.
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "Apple has Apple Silicon versions of all of its Intel Macs on sale by the end of 2021" -1
  • "No Intel Macs are available for sale without an Apple Silicon counterpart." Myke points out the iMac Pro as a potential spoiler.
  • (For pick complexity purposes, I'm counting this as 1 condition for each Mac line that still had no Apple Silicon counterpart at the beginning of 2021: The larger MacBook Pros, the iMac in both sizes, the iMac Pro, and the Mac Pro. The Mac mini is 1 line with a high end and low end, so it already had an "Apple Silicon counterpart" although the high end Mac mini was still Intel.)
  • The iMac Pro left the lineup entirely, but the Mac Pro remained on Intel by the end of the year.
Stephen Flexie "There will be a chip named M1 followed by a letter" 0
Stephen Flexie "Apple ships an AR, VR, and/or MR dedicated device" 0
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "At this event, we see some sort of AR-focused hardware" -1
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "iPadOS 15 brings organization changes to the home screen that don’t exist on the iPhone, including iOS 15" 0
  • "Widgets on home screen and App Library don't count as they are on the iPhone already"
  • This was originally a Risky Pick, but Myke couldn't get enough clarity for what it meant.
Stephen Risky "Apple unveils a new high-end audio product" -1
  • "As defined by a price of over $399, or it's a stand-alone DAC."
  • The idea of an official Apple DAC sparks a lot of discussion.
Stephen Flexie "macOS skips ahead to version 15 to match iOS and iPadOS" 0
Stephen Flexie "The next version of macOS comes with a redesigned Today view" 0
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The Apple Watch SE gets a price cut" 0
Stephen Risky "MagSafe is updated to support 20 watt charging or higher, but a new puck is required" -1
  • This was originally just "faster charging", but the live chat pointed out a recent FCC filing by Apple which undercut the riskiness of the pick. Stephen added a specific wattage target and also had to decide whether the existing MagSafe puck will support the higher wattage.
Stephen Flexie "The Apple Watch moves to 5G networking" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Apple announces a Mac mini that is more performant than the original M1 model" 0
Stephen Risky "5G becomes an option on at least one MacBook" -1
Stephen Flexie "The new MacBook Pro power bricks have ports on them, like the iMac does for Ethernet" 0
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Larger, more powerful iMac is introduced" 0
  • Not only was this wrong, the larger iMac disappeared entirely from the Mac lineup.
Stephen Risky "Apple announces an update to AirPods Max, that support wireless lossless playback, to take full advantage of Apple's new classical music service" -1
  • Working with Apple Classical is part of the pick, meaning that if Classical is not introduced it will be incorrect.
  • This was edited to be any AirPods, but then Stephen went back to the more passionate original pick.
  • Not a reuse of the infamous DAC pick, but in a similar vein.
Stephen Flexie "The Intel Mac mini is removed from sale" 0
Stephen Flexie "A revised 13" MBP drops the Touch Bar but does not add MagSafe" 0

Myke's Possible Vindication Picks

Type2017 Annual PredictionsScore
Myke Regular "An iPhone Pro with Apple Pencil support, 2 Apple Pencils" 0
  • "2 Apple Pencils: the standard and a short one that supports the iPhone and iPad mini"
  • During grading, Federico proposes what will become Risky Picks, including 2 points for correct picks and losing a point for being wrong, as Myke describes how he wanted to go big with this pick.
Type2018 Annual PredictionsScore
Myke Risky "iOS 12 features a large scale UI redesign across iOS, the biggest since iOS 7" -1
Myke Non‑graded "A new Apple Pencil with a button of some kind" 0
  • "(aluminum?)"
TypeThe AirPower GameScore
Myke Non‑graded "AirPower will come out after the 2018 iPhone event" 0
Type2018 iPhone Event PredictionsScore
Myke Non‑graded "A new, unique case" 0
Type2019 Annual PredictionsScore
Myke Risky "Apple releases an iPhone subscription service that bundles a device, AppleCare, and a selection of other Apple content services into one monthly payment" -1
  • "(Not just additional iCloud space)"
  • The free AppleTV+ trial with new devices combined with an iPhone Upgrade Program purchase is deemed to not count during grading.
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Myke Non‑graded "Improved external display support for iPadOS" 0
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Myke Risky "A non-Pro iPad gets a LIDAR sensor" -1
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Myke Risky "The new iPhone will have a Touch ID sensor" -1
Myke Flexie "Over-ear AirPods are offered with multiple material options" 0
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple announces a new Mac Pro powered by Apple Silicon" 0
Myke Risky "A Mac gets a screen that supports touch and/or Apple Pencil input" -1
Myke Flexie "Another variant of over-ear headphones will be released" 0
  • Technically Apple wasn't specified, but of course that wasn't the intent.
Myke Flexie "Apple releases a weather API" 0
Myke Flexie "A new iMac has adjustability that is reminiscent of the Pro Display XDR" 0
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "New iPad Pro accessory" 0
  • "Something we haven't seen before, or is redesigned significantly, e.g. Apple Pencil 1 to 2."
Myke Flexie "You can buy AirTags in a 3-pack" 0
  • It was a 4 pack instead.
Myke Flexie "The camera on the iPad Pro moves to the long side" 0
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Preview of the new Apple Silicon Mac Pro" 0
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Myke Risky "An iPhone gets an always-on display with a UI element that is reminiscent of Apple Watch complications" -1
Myke Flexie "A new iPad mini is introduced with a refreshed design, new colours previously not a part of the product, USB-C, Smart Connector, and 5G support" 0
  • Originally a Risky Pick.
  • This was very close to coming true, but it was missing a Smart Connector.
Myke Flexie "There is a ceramic Apple Watch" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Myke Regular "We get a colour option that is new to the MacBook Pro (name)" 0
  • This was originally "new in name or hue", but some questioning of what a new hue would be resulted in relying solely on a new colour name.
Myke Risky "Apple teases another Mac, that is not for sale right now, with Pro in the name, and says that it is coming next year" -1
  • It was originally "Mac product", but there was some controversy over whether that includes accessories and displays. Ultimately, Myke upped the difficulty and removed the word "product".
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple introduces a new Mac mini with an updated design" 0
  • Myke insists, and Federico seems to agree, that even a change in the ports on the back is "an updated design". Stephen seems less convinced, but that's a matter for grading. It's agreed that it has to be the Mac itself and not, say, an accessory or power cord.
Myke Regular "Apple's classical music service is unveiled" 0
Myke Risky "The new iPhone SE has a design influenced by the iPhone mini, it does not feature Face ID, it has a Touch ID power button" -1
Myke Flexie "Apple unveils the first Mac powered by an M2 chip" 0

Federico's Possible Vindication Picks

Type2019 Annual PredictionsScore
Federico Non‑graded "AirPower is released and new AirPods are released" 0
Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Federico Non‑graded "Apple TV box gets a price cut" 0
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Federico Risky "Apple announces Apple TV and game controller bundle" -1
  • Federico spins a vivid tale of how actually this was announced, but the other guys don’t buy it.
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Risky "Apple will release at least 1 new pro app for iPad that we haven't previously seen on iPad" -1
  • "(The app can be universal.)"
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Federico Regular "New iMessage features, including the ability to retract sent messages" 0
Federico Risky "The iPad gets a new development tool to write code, on device, that is not Swift Playgrounds" -1
Federico Non‑graded "Shortcuts gets new Files integration, ability to run bookmarks in 3rd party actions" 0
Federico Non‑graded "iOS will get the ability the ability to lock the phone to portrait, but continue watching videos in landscape" 0
Federico Non‑graded "New Notes framework for developers" 0
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple launches a new AirPods app for iPhone, similar to Watch app" 0
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple redesigns the App Store app for Mac to include iOS, macOS, and iPadOS apps together" 0
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Risky "Apple will release a new programming app for iPad" -1
  • Federico asks to be quoted as "very very positive" that he will win on the strength of this Ricky Pick.
  • Not Swift Playgrounds, that is not new. As it turns out, they added this functionality to Swift Playgrounds.
  • This was deemed not a reuse of a previous pick since it is even riskier and more specific.
Federico Flexie "Apple releases its own game controller" 0
Federico Flexie "iOS gets a native feature to change icons for any app you want" 0
Federico Flexie "Apple releases a bigger iPad Pro" 0
Federico Flexie "At least one new iPhone model has both Face ID and Touch ID" 0
Federico Flexie "WidgetKit will support new widget sizes and more interactivity" 0
  • The boolean operator "and" ends up taking this pick down.
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Federico Risky "The iPad Pro, with an updated USB-4/Thunderbolt port, features a new kind of support for external displays" -1
  • Ungraded: the multitasking system gets redesigned to better support external displays
Federico Flexie "DriverKit comes to iPadOS to let more kinds of accessories be supported on iPad" 0
Federico Flexie "Shortcuts gets new actions or triggers for USB connections" 0
Federico Flexie "Hypervisor comes to iPad" 0
Federico Flexie "The new iPad Pro comes with a fancy new GaN charger" 0
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Federico Regular "WidgetKit gains new interactivity features that allow you to perform actions inside widgets without launching the associated app" 0
Federico Risky "Legacy widgets are completely removed from the system, and there is no longer a place to put widgets to the left of the main home screen" -1
Federico Flexie "The Weather app comes to iPad" 0
Federico Flexie "Better external display support on iPad" 0
Federico Flexie "iOS and iPadOS 15 get native HomeKit widgets" 0
Federico Flexie "The Passwords feature of Settings becomes a standalone app" 0
Federico Flexie "iOS 15 drops support for the iPhone 6S" 0
Federico Flexie "The next version of iOS lets you change icons for apps natively" 0
  • "Without Shortcuts or custom profiles."
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "The 9th generation iPad is introduced with a USB-C connector" 0
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple unveils a "Space Black" MacBook Pro" 0
Federico Flexie "There is going to be a funny scene involving one of the characters of Ted Lasso" 0
  • Federico originally had "Universal Control has been postponed to a future macOS Monterey update", but during the show a new macOS beta was released with the feature not available, but at least mentioned in an unselectable check box.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Federico Risky "A new base model Mac mini is introduced with the M2 chip..." -1
  • "... The new Mini is at least 30% smaller than the current one. It's thicker, but narrower, making it more similar to an Apple TV or Intel NUC."
  • In other words, closer to a cubic shape, but not necessarily a cube. Although Federico loves cubes, so that would be great.
Federico Flexie "The new Mac mini comes in more colors than silver and grey" 0
  • Was originally "in multiple colors".
Federico Flexie "Apple releases new AirPods colors" 0