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Live Edited

 31st December 2022 at 4:03pm

Stephen's Live Edited Picks

Type2019 Annual PredictionsScore
Stephen Regular "The Mac Pro will ship (in 2019 this time)" 1
  • Added mid-year: Must be able to order a Mac Pro by the end of 2019, they do not have to arrive in customer hands by the end of the year.
  • Ungraded: "I waffle on sticking with my iMac Pro"; he bought one almost immediately. Myke predicted that Stephen would buy a Mac Pro, exchange it for an iMac Pro, then buy another Mac Pro in 6 months.
Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Stephen Risky "Apple TV app will receive a refreshed design" 2
Type2019 WWDC PredictionsScore
Stephen Risky "The HomePod will gain multiple user support via voice detection" 2
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "No Mac or iPad hardware in the keynote" 0
  • 10.2” iPad was announced
Stephen Risky "No service bundle announced" 2
  • “including any service being free with another, or some sort of content being added to the iPhone upgrade program”
  • Apple TV+ was announced as a free trial, but not as a bundle. And it doesn’t really come with the upgrade program as such. Stephen threads the needle with this pick.
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Apple will launch its own podcast content beyond its existing deal with Oprah" 1
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "A CPU transition is announced for the Mac" 1
  • Federico counsels against specifying ARM, which is good because Apple calls it "Apple Silicon" and never uses the term ARM.
Stephen Regular "Apple shares a video touting the benefits of the time-of-flight sensor found in the 2020 iPad Pros for AR" 1
Stephen Risky "Something in the default Dock of Catalina becomes a Catalyst app" 2
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "At least one new non-Pro iPad will switch to USB-C" 1
Stephen Risky "The iPad mini will be updated with a new design inspired by the iPad Pro's design" -1
  • Stephen was almost exactly one year too early, as this would finally come true in 2021.
Stephen Flexie "The removal of Force Touch on watchOS is framed as the inclusion of Haptic Touch" 0
Stephen Flexie "Apple will not unveil additional details about the release of the first Apple Silicon Macs" 1
  • Myke challenged Stephen to make this a sixth Flexie in the discussion of his previous pick.
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Big Sur gets a revised release window" 1
Stephen Regular "No new Mac announced will have a touchscreen" 1
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The iPad mini does receive the new design language" 1
  • "Originally, Stephen said it would not receive it", but the other hosts criticized him for his negativity.
Stephen Risky "Apple has Apple Silicon versions of all of its Intel Macs on sale by the end of 2021" -1
  • "No Intel Macs are available for sale without an Apple Silicon counterpart." Myke points out the iMac Pro as a potential spoiler.
  • (For pick complexity purposes, I'm counting this as 1 condition for each Mac line that still had no Apple Silicon counterpart at the beginning of 2021: The larger MacBook Pros, the iMac in both sizes, the iMac Pro, and the Mac Pro. The Mac mini is 1 line with a high end and low end, so it already had an "Apple Silicon counterpart" although the high end Mac mini was still Intel.)
  • The iMac Pro left the lineup entirely, but the Mac Pro remained on Intel for about a year and a half more.
Stephen Flexie "There will be a chip named M1 followed by a letter" 0
Stephen Flexie "Apple ships an AR, VR, and/or MR dedicated device" 0
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The big iPad Pro is updated with a feature that is unique to it" 1
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "iPadOS 15 brings organization changes to the home screen that don’t exist on the iPhone, including iOS 15" 0
  • "Widgets on home screen and App Library don't count as they are on the iPhone already"
  • This was originally a Risky Pick, but Myke couldn't get enough clarity for what it meant.
Stephen Risky "Apple unveils a new high-end audio product" -1
  • "As defined by a price of over $399, or it's a stand-alone DAC."
  • The idea of an official Apple DAC sparks a lot of discussion.
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The Pro iPhone gets a new camera feature the regular iPhone doesn't get" 1
Stephen Risky "MagSafe is updated to support 20 watt charging or higher, but a new puck is required" -1
  • This was originally just "faster charging", but the live chat pointed out a recent FCC filing by Apple which undercut the riskiness of the pick. Stephen added a specific wattage target and also had to decide whether the existing MagSafe puck will support the higher wattage.
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Apple announces a Mac mini that is more performant than the original M1 model" 0
Type2022 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "The 11" iPad Pro gets a mini LED display" 0
  • This was originally "WWDC 2022 will be virtual", but that was very close to last year's pick, which was within the 365 day limit. It was a borderline judgement, but ultimately they decided they didn't like the precedent.
Stephen Regular "The iPad's external display support goes unchanged" 0
  • Was originally "By December 31, 2022, no Intel Macs will remain on sale as new machines", but this was also too close for comfort, although arguably the previous pick was more permissive than this would have been.
  • Stage Manager in fact brought major changes.
Stephen Flexie "Apple announces a developer kit for its headset" 0
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "A new color of iPhone 13 (family) is announced" 1
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Regular "Third party widgets gain interactivity" 0
  • Edited to clarify "third party" as a few Apple widgets are already interactive.
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "iOS gets split-view support for multitasking to use 2 apps at once (reuse)" -1
Type2023 Annual RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "Apple releases an iPad Pro with a screen between 15.0 and 15.9999 inches which replaces the 11-inch model"
  • Was originally just "15 inch" but a specific range was requested after Federico's pick was read.
Stephen Flexie "Apple Music Classical ships"
  • Was originally written "Apple Music Classic", but Myke pointed out that it isn't called "classic music".
Type2023 WWDC RickiesScore
Stephen Flexie "Jeff Williams has a major role in introducing the headset" 0
  • Was originally Kevin Lynch until Myke, ever the sportsman, pointed out that Lynch is supposedly on the car project, not the headset.
Type2023 September RickiesScore
Stephen Risky "Apple announces a multi-device charger that looks a lot like AirPower, without designated charging targets" -1
  • Stephen came to the table with two picks: "Apple announces a multi-device charger that looks a lot like AirPower" and "The 15 Pro Max weighs within 10% of the 14 Pro Max's weight". Myke believed that a 10% margin on either side is too wide to be risky and also that the AirPower one is just a better risky pick with less math. Once it's settled to go with the AirPower one, Federico asks to clarify "looks like" and the pick is modified to specify a lack of charging targets.

Myke's Live Edited Picks

Type2017 Annual PredictionsScore
Myke Regular "2017 will see a more powerful iMac at the top of the line that rivals and replaces the Mac Pro" 0.5
  • "The Mac Pro will go away, the Mac Mini also goes away, by the end of 2017 the iMac is all that remains."
  • While explaining, Myke got a little carried away with how complete this transition would be, but when challenged to make it part of the pick, he decided to go for it.
Type2019 Media Event PredictionsScore
Myke Regular "Apple's original content will premiere after the service itself launches" 1
  • "non original content will come first, excluding existing programs"
Type2019 Fall RickiesScore
Myke Regular "New colours in the iPhone line as compared to the previous year" 1
Myke Risky "Tim Cook thanks Jony Ive, the camera shows Jony in the audience, Jony doesn’t stand" -1
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Regular "The iPad Pro line is updated before the iPhone with a hardware feature that's not on any current iPhone in 2019 or 2020" 1
  • Myke says during grading that he originally expected 5G to get him this point but LIDAR did instead, but he actually focused on LIDAR when originally explaining this pick. (During the grading, Federico delivers his impromptu review of the 2020 iPad Pro.)
Myke Risky "The notch on the iPhone will get physically smaller in at least one of the 2020 iPhones" 2
  • Grading for this was tricky, but Stephen discovered that the Apple Accessory Design Guidelines indicate that the notch got very slightly smaller, by millimeters, mostly due to the switch from LCD to OLED in the iPhone 12. The consensus is that it's a technical victory but not an honorable one.
Type2020 Summer RickiesScore
Myke Regular "iOS gets the ability to change default apps from those that Apple make, including email" 1
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Myke Regular "Apple gives another extended free period of TV+ with new product purchases, even if you already had a trial" 0
  • The pick went through a little more revision after round 2 ended.
  • Apple extended the existing free period for TV+, which does not count
  • Myke notes that, since this extension was announced via press release before the event, a differently-worded pick may have been ambiguous based on the rules at the time, so an explicit rule about the scoring window is added.
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Myke Regular "An Apple Silicon Mac is available to order in November 2020" 1
Myke Flexie "New AirPods or AirPods Pro" 0
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Risky "A Mac gets a screen that supports touch and/or Apple Pencil input" -1
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Regular "No preview of AR/VR/MR-focused hardware" 1
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Myke Regular "At least one iPhone gets a 120 hz refresh rate display" 1
  • This was nearly a reuse of a previous pick before the live chat caught it. The fix was to specify an exact refresh rate to make it more specific.
Myke Regular "The new Apple Silicon MacBook Pro will not be announced at this event" 1
  • This was originally going to be "No Macs", but at this point everyone was on the lookout for reused picks and this one has come up a few times.
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Myke Regular "We get a colour option that is new to the MacBook Pro (name)" 0
  • This was originally "new in name or hue", but some questioning of what a new hue would be resulted in relying solely on a new colour name.
Myke Risky "Apple teases another Mac, that is not for sale right now, with Pro in the name, and says that it is coming next year" -1
  • It was originally "Mac product", but there was some controversy over whether that includes accessories and displays. Ultimately, Myke upped the difficulty and removed the word "product".
Type2022 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Risky "The new Mac Pro will be..." -1
  • "... smaller, not a cube shape, feature no support for the current MPX modules and/or will allow for some form of expandability outside of Thunderbolt. It will be only be available in one color."
  • Another "and/or" added to a pick, which happened a few times this episode. It applies to just the MPX modules and expandability clause.
Myke Flexie "New AirPods Max" 0
  • Was originally "AirPods Max 2"
Myke Flexie "A headset will not be unveiled at WWDC" 1
Type2022 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Regular "No Apple-made headset is seen" 1
  • Was originally "AR/VR/MR hardware" and "introduced", but the others wanted some clarifications.
Myke Risky "Apple gives a sneak peak of the new Mac Pro..." -1
  • "...It features a case design inspired by the 2019 Mac Pro. It features more ports than any other Apple Silicon Mac available today. It does not have support for third-party GPUs. It features a chip name that has not appeared in any other product. It has a starting price of at least $6,999. It is coming later this year."
  • Originally it said "same case design", but the change was accepted on air after Myke reconsidered. "Later this year" was also demoted from being an exact quote.
  • This Mac Pro will have to beat the Mac Studio in terms of ports: 2 USB-C, 2 USB-A, 4 Thunderbolt, SD card, Ethernet, HDMI, and headphone jack, for a total of 12.
  • This pick is similar in spirit to Myke's ongoing Annual pick, but with different conditions. At the time it was the most complex graded pick ever made.
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Myke Regular "At least one iPhone will have the notch removed, replaced by a cut-out(s) for the camera and sensors, free-floating from the border" 1
  • Or, as Stephen so poetically put it, "AKA an island of black glass in an ocean of pixels." Little did he know that Apple would actually call it "the Dynamic Island".
Myke Flexie "A new iPhone Pro colour is Purple" 1
Type2023 Annual RickiesScore
Myke Flexie "Apple will release a new monitor"
  • Myke wanted an additional pick to match the 7 of the other hosts, so this was thrown in after the others had gone.
Type2023 WWDC RickiesScore
Myke Regular "watchOS 10 gets widgets" 1
  • Was originally "A widget-like interface comes to the Apple Watch" before some workshopping.
Type2023 September RickiesScore
Myke Regular "At least 1 iPhone gets a camera with a more than 3x zoom" 1
  • Was "telephoto lens" specifically before Myke reconsidered
Type2023 October RickiesScore
Myke Regular "The names of the colours of the iMac are unchanged"
  • Cleverly worded so that if the iMac isn't touched, the pick is still correct, but Federico's questioning of whether a change in hue counts causes Myke to water it down to just names. At the time of the pick, the colors were "Blue, Green, Pink, Silver, Yellow, Orange, Purple".

Federico's Live Edited Picks

Type2019 Annual PredictionsScore
Federico Risky "Reminders gets a major update" 2
  • "(how do we decide major? — on stage at WWDC or we decide past that)"
  • Ungraded: "some features that Federico would like to see", the actual features that Federico talked about were not recorded in the document, but were: a new, more flexible design, easier and faster to add dates and notes, tags, saved searches, better Files integration
Type2019 WWDC PredictionsScore
Federico Risky "Apple will bring back some kind of "app list/launcher" UI element on iPad" 2
  • Federico cites parts of Slide Over's new multitasking interface, and when that doesn't seem to be working, says "If you don't give me this point, I will call the police." It escalates to the point of typing 911 into his phone.
  • "Some kind of" is vague enough to count this, and it definitely is not because of the threat.
Type2020 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Regular "Apple will name a successor to Steve Dowling, former head of public relations at Apple" 0
  • "Either named by Apple officially, or reported by more than one outlet that a person has been appointed."
  • Clearly in no hurry to do this, Apple finally hired Stella Low to the role in 2021.
Type2020 September RickiesScore
Federico Regular "At least one of the new non-Pro iPads will have an iPad Pro inspired design" 1
  • "(the flat sides are key)"
Federico Regular "Apple introduces a new, lower end Apple Watch model in addition to the higher end Series 6" 1
Federico Risky "A new Apple Watch has at least one new built-in app because of an exclusive feature not found on existing watches" 2
Federico Flexie "Apple showcases at least one new feature coming in iOS or iPadOS 14.1" 0
  • The version number wasn't stated explicitly, otherwise Fitness+ would have counted.
Type2020 October RickiesScore
Federico Regular "The new iPhones will carry a new design inspired by the iPad Pro/iPhone 4" 1
  • "Flat sides"
Federico Risky "One of the new iPhones with LIDAR has a new portrait feature thanks to new sensors" 2
Type2020 November RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Apple redesigns the App Store app for Mac to include iOS, macOS, and iPadOS apps together" 0
Type2021 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Regular "Apple launches at least one iPad model with a new display technology" 1
  • He initially picked mini LED specifically. And after further discussion it was agreed that this meant a new display technology for the iPad, so for example OLED would also count.
Type2021 April RickiesScore
Federico Regular "Only the big iPad Pro gets the new display technology" 1
Type2021 WWDC RickiesScore
Federico Risky "Legacy widgets are completely removed from the system, and there is no longer a place to put widgets to the left of the main home screen" -1
Type2021 September RickiesScore
Federico Regular "There will be a setting to disable the higher refresh rate in at least one of the new iPhones" 1
  • Was originally just a pick about a new, as-yet-unannounced iOS 15 feature, but the hosts suspected that was another reuse.
  • In retrospect, this was a tricky pick to grade because how would we know the day after the event? Federico provides some insider information indicating that the setting does exist, but can it be said to have "come true", as the rule states, without proof? The meaning of truth itself is debated, perhaps a philosophical high point for the Rickies. The point is ultimately granted, with the understanding that in the future, the rules will be amended to clarify that picks must be publicly verifiable to earn points.
Type2021 October RickiesScore
Federico Regular "At least one new MacBook Pro model has an upgraded webcam with a higher resolution" 1
  • Must be better than the current 720p. Ungraded, Federico expects a 1080p camera.
Federico Regular "Any kind of release timeframe is provided for macOS Monterey" 1
  • Apparently feeling humble, Federico admits that this is a "boring" pick. It was originally "release date", but when some questioning about whether just a month would count came up, he watered it down.
Federico Risky "Apple announces a new display that is not the Pro XDR, launching by the end of 2021 somewhere" -1
  • This was originally a pick about the Mac Pro being fully announced, but it was too close to Myke's risky pick.
  • The long-wished-for cheaper Apple display finally came out in 2022.
Federico Flexie "Apple unveils a "Space Black" MacBook Pro" 0
Federico Flexie "There is going to be a funny scene involving one of the characters of Ted Lasso" 0
  • Federico originally had "Universal Control has been postponed to a future macOS Monterey update", but during the show a new macOS beta was released with the feature not available, but at least mentioned in an unselectable check box.
Type2022 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Risky "iOS 16 brings major changes for systemwide design customization" -1
  • Also, "Apple will let users choose their own app icons, and they'll introduce new App Store categories for wallpaper and/or icon apps"
  • A reuse and double down of last year's Flexie.
Federico Flexie "There are new ways to turn off the alerts that Shortcuts displays constantly" 1
  • "Either confirmation banners or the notification when running with automation."
  • This came with iOS 16, and the Dynamic Island changed some of these interactions as well.
Type2022 March RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "The new Mac mini comes in more colors than silver and grey" 0
  • Was originally "in multiple colors".
Type2022 September RickiesScore
Federico Risky "The iPhone 14 Pro Camera app introduces some kind of 3D capturing functionality" -1
Type2023 Annual RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "Second-generation AirPods Max will ship during the year"
  • Was originally "AirPods Max 2" specifically.
Type2023 WWDC RickiesScore
Federico Flexie "The Wallet app gets a new design" 0
  • Apparently left unfinished in the document, this was originally just "The Wallet app."
Type2023 September RickiesScore
Federico Risky "At least one of the new iPhones will support the new Qi 2 wireless charging standard..." -1
  • "... and "reverse wireless charging" for AirPods cases. MagSafe charging speed will also be raised from 15 watts."
  • Originally didn't include the last sentence.
  • The previous rumors of reverse wireless charging didn't disqualify this pick since it's in combination with Qi 2 as well. It's pointed out that Qi 2 is basically just standardized MagSafe as well, but it's still allowed as they'll have to be specific about Qi 2 to count it. Stephen still thinks it lacks passion. Later, Federico sprinkled some passion on it after all by adding a charging wattage increase after all.
Federico Flexie "iPhone 15 gets slower-speed USB-C transfers compared to the Pro models" 1
  • "Compared to the Pro models" was added for clarity.
Type2023 October RickiesScore
Federico Regular "The visual design of the 14" and 16" MacBook Pro is unchanged"
  • The word "visual" was added, but it's agreed that we'll know it when we see it.